Water Week

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This year’s La Nina unlikely to produce hoped-for substantial rain: grim news for Vic farmers

Posted by waterweek on 4 October 2007

This year’s La Nina was not likely to produce the substantial rain that Australians hoped for, reported The Age (13/9/2007, p.5). Too late: Climate meteorologist Grant Beard said La Nina events were usually established by the end of winter, with widespread above-average rain across eastern Australia. If a La Nina developed in spring, he said, it would be late by historical standards and unlikely to produce the usual wetter-than-average conditions. Beard said the seasonal outlook did not suggest there would be above-average rainfall. Parts of western and southern Victoria have as little as a 35 per cent chance of spring rainfall above the long-term average.

Grim news for farmers: It was a devastating outlook for farmers, including grain growers in the Wimmera and Mallee who desperately need above-average rainfall this spring to save their crops after a poor winter. They have received little rain in the first fortnight of spring.

The Age, 13/9/2007, p. 5

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